We use the term “to predict” or “prediction” because  it is the word usually used for describing in advance how a football match will play out.  Due to our theoretical background in subjective Bayesian statistics though, we prefer the term “prevision”. Because that is what it really is: we preview what is about to happen. That means that when we say that we correctly predicted the outcome of a match, it doesn’t mean that we picked the correct winner. A lot of the time we do and we  beat the sports betting industry when it comes at that.

But we count our prevision correct if we correctly predicted the flow of the match and we either predicted the end result correctly, or we were very close in predicting the end result correctly (never more than 1 goal difference with our predicted end result). This means that sometimes we count a prevision of a match correctly where in reality the match was not like our prevision. But this is compensated by the fact that we also often refuse to count a match as correctly predicted even though the match went as we expected, but where the score was quite different from what you would expect when watching the match.