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Results for week 8 & 9 2019

In week 8 + 9 of 2019 our previsions of 22 out of 32 (68.7%) matches were correct. That is a bit higher than our overall success percentage of 572 out of 981 (58.30%).

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DateModel correct?
VenloHeracles0122/2/2019Yes
GentStandard2122/2/2019No
UtrechtExcelsior0023/2/2019Yes
PECGraafschap0323/2/2019Yes
FortunaHeerenveen2423/2/2019No
NACGroningen0023/2/2019Yes
EupenZulte2323/2/2019Yes
WaaslandKortrijk2623/2/2019No
MouscronLokeren1023/2/2019Yes
ADOAjax1524/2/2019Yes
PSVFeyenoord1124/2/2019Yes
EmmenVitesse0324/2/2019No
Willem IIAZ2124/2/2019No
AnderlechtClub2224/2/2019Yes
GenkAntwerp0024/2/2019Yes
St. TruidenCharleroi3124/2/2019No
StandardMouscron111/3/2019Yes
GraafschapADO111/3/2019Yes
CharleroiGenk112/3/2019Yes
OostendeWaasland112/3/2019Yes
KortrijkCercle212/3/2019Yes
ClubSt. Truiden102/3/2019No
HeraclesUtrecht152/3/2019No
ExcelsiorPSV022/3/2019Yes
VitesseNAC412/3/2019Yes
ZulteGent133/3/2019No
LokerenAnderlecht123/3/2019Yes
AntwerpEupen213/3/2019Yes
HeerenveenWillem 2423/3/2019Yes
GroningenVVV323/3/2019Yes
FeyenoordEmmen403/3/2019No
AZFortuna423/3/2019Yes

Does FBM data anticipate red cards?

Here is an interesting observation of the matches in this weekend. All players with a red card score low on Overall Effeciency, Defense Efficiency and Transition Effiency.

All red cards. Not enough data to make it statistically sound, but interesting nonetheless. 4 out of 5 are scoring really low on Overall Effeciency, Defense Efficiency and Transition Effiency.

Serrarens of De Graafschap
Rodriguez of Fortuna Sittard
Sven van Beek of Feyenoord
Bürki of Zulte Waregem
Faes of KV Oostende

Results for week 7 of 2019

In week 7 of 2019 our previsions of 10 out of 17 (58.8%) matches were correct. That is almost the same as our overall success percentage of 550 out of 949 (57.9%).

ADOPEC1015/2/2019No
StandardLokeren3115/2/2019No
KortrijkCharleroi1216/2/2019No
AZVVV3016/2/2019Yes
HeerenveenPSV2216/2/2019Yes
HeraclesFortuna6016/2/2019No
ZulteSt. Truiden1116/2/2019Yes
VitesseWillem 3216/2/2019No
WaaslandGent2116/2/2019Yes
OostendeEupen1117/2/2019Yes
AjaxNAC5017/2/2019Yes
ExcelsiorEmmen2117/2/2019No
GroningenFeyenoord1017/2/2019Yes
ClubGenk3117/2/2019No
GraafschapUtrecht0117/2/2019Yes
AntwerpAnderlecht1117/2/2019Yes
MouscronCercle3017/2/2019Yes

Prevision ADO Den Haag vs PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle wins 42% of the time based on 155 matches.
ADO wins 28% of the time based on 155 matches.
Most likely outcome: 2 – 1 (happens 9% of the time) 
The favorite dominates most of the game, but the underdog has most of the chances (mostly through countering), so more than average it becomes a draw, but in this case the countering is ineffective.

ADO 1 dominates 21.67% and has 57.30% of the chances to score.

PEC Zwolle 1 dominates 51.01% and has 42.69% of the chances to score.

Results for week 6 2019

Last weekend we had 10 out of 15 correct (66%)

NACAZ038/2/2019Yes
GenkStandard208/2/2019Yes
HeraclesAjax109/2/2019No
CharleroiOostende119/2/2019Yes
St. TruidenWaasland219/2/2019Yes
EupenKortrijk019/2/2019No
LokerenAntwerp219/2/2019No
VVVWillem II219/2/2019Yes
FeyenoordGraafschap409/2/2019Yes
EmmenADO3210/2/2019No
GroningenVitesse2110/2/2019Yes
CercleClub2210/2/2019Yes
UtrechtPSV2210/2/2019Yes
AnderlechtZulte0010/2/2019Yes
GentMouscron1210/2/2019No

Results of our prediction of week 5 of 2019

With 12 out of 16 matches (75%) correctly predicted this weekend we had a much better result than last week when we had 9 out of 16 correct (56.5%).

GraafschapBreda301/2/2019No
MouscronCharleroi301/2/2019No
VitesseHeerenveen222/2/2019Yes
AjaxVVV602/2/2019Yes
WillemGroningen122/2/2019Yes
ZulteCercle322/2/2019No
KortrijkLokeren212/2/2019Yes
WaaslandGenk122/2/2019Yes
AZEmmen502/2/2019Yes
ExcelsiorFeyenoord213/2/2019Yes
PECUtrecht433/2/2019Yes
PSVFortuna503/2/2019Yes
ClubGent113/2/2019Yes
ADOHeracles203/2/2019Yes
StandardAnderlecht213/2/2019Yes
St. TruidenEupen413/2/2019No